Golf · tracked since July 7, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on July 18, 2026
Final tracked odds
▼ 2 since the previous update. ▼ 2 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
What happened: The market said 6% on July 18, 2026. It didn't happen.
| Outcome | Jul 17 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Rahm | 4% | 2% | ▼ 2 |
| Date | Jon Rahm |
|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | 2% |
| 2026-07-17 | 4% |
| 2026-07-16 | 4% |
| 2026-07-15 | 4% |
| 2026-07-14 | 4% |
| 2026-07-13 | 4% |
| 2026-07-12 | 4% |
| 2026-07-11 | 4% |
| 2026-07-10 | 3% |
| 2026-07-09 | 4% |
| 2026-07-08 | 4% |
| 2026-07-07 | 4% |
| 2026-07-06 * | 4% |
| 2026-07-05 * | 4% |
| 2026-07-04 * | 4% |
| 2026-07-03 * | 5% |
| 2026-07-02 * | 6% |
| 2026-07-01 * | 6% |
| 2026-06-30 * | 5% |
| 2026-06-29 * | 5% |
| 2026-06-28 * | 5% |
| 2026-06-27 * | 4% |
| 2026-06-26 * | 4% |
| 2026-06-25 * | 4% |
| 2026-06-24 * | 5% |
| 2026-06-23 * | 5% |
| 2026-06-22 * | 6% |
* reference history from the market’s own records, before our tracking began.
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Jon Rahm win the The Open Championship” for 12 days, since July 7, 2026. As of July 18, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 2%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 4% to 2%, ranging between 2% and 4% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on July 18, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.