The Morning Line

Who will win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?

Everything Else · tracked since July 7, 2026 · last updated 5:00 AM ET

0.1%

Today’s odds

As of October 12, 2026, this is wide open — no outcome clears 10% in market-consensus odds; Leo De Vries leads at 0.1%.

Unchanged since the previous update. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

Leo De VriesKazuma Okamoto
0%25%50%75%100%Jul 11Aug 3Aug 25Sep 20Oct 12Leo De Vries — Aug 1: 0.1%Leo De Vries — Oct 12: 0.1%0.1%Kazuma Okamoto — Oct 5: 0.1%Kazuma Okamoto — Oct 12: 0.1%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeOct 11TodayMove
Leo De Vries0.1%0.1%—
Kazuma Okamoto0.1%0.1%—
Full history table
DateLeo De VriesKazuma Okamoto
2026-10-120.1%0.1%
2026-10-110.1%0.1%
2026-10-100.1%0.1%
2026-10-090.1%0.1%
2026-10-080.1%0.1%
2026-10-070.1%0.1%
2026-10-06—0.1%
2026-10-050.1%0.1%
2026-10-040.1%—
2026-10-030.1%—
2026-10-020.1%—
2026-10-010.1%—
2026-09-30——
2026-09-29——
2026-09-28——
2026-09-27——
2026-09-26——
2026-09-25——
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2026-08-07——
2026-08-060.1%—
2026-08-050.1%—
2026-08-040.1%—
2026-08-030.1%—
2026-08-020.1%—
2026-08-010.1%—
2026-07-31——
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2026-07-12——
2026-07-11——
2026-07-10——
2026-07-09——
2026-07-08——
2026-07-07——

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.

Common questions

Who will win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award — what are the odds?
As of October 12, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 0.1%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Who will win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award — how much have the odds move?
Barely. Across 17 tracked days the odds held near 0.1%, ending at 0.1% on October 12, 2026 — a question the market has not changed its mind about.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Who will win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award” for 17 days, since July 7, 2026. As of October 12, 2026, no outcome clears 10% — Leo De Vries leads at 0.1%. The chance for the leading outcome has held near 0.1% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.

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