Today’s odds
As of September 4, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 6%.
Unchanged since the previous update. ▲ 2 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?
Everything Else · tracked since July 20, 2026 · last updated 5:01 AM ET
6%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Sep 3 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 6% | 6% | — |
Full history table
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | 6% |
| 2026-09-03 | 6% |
| 2026-09-02 | 6% |
| 2026-09-01 | 6% |
| 2026-07-31 | 4% |
| 2026-07-30 | 4% |
| 2026-07-29 | 4% |
| 2026-07-28 | 4% |
| 2026-07-27 | 4% |
| 2026-07-24 | 4% |
| 2026-07-23 | 5% |
| 2026-07-22 | 5% |
| 2026-07-21 | 5% |
| 2026-07-20 | 5% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.
Common questions
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31 — what are the odds?
- As of September 4, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 6%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31 — how much have the odds move?
- Barely. Across 14 tracked days the odds held near 5%, ending at 6% on September 4, 2026 — a question the market has not changed its mind about.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31” for 14 days, since July 20, 2026. As of September 4, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 6%. The chance for a yes has risen from 5% to 6%, ranging between 4% and 6% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.