Today’s odds
As of August 6, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 86%.
▲ 1 since the previous update. ▼ 3 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Everything Else · tracked since August 1, 2026 · last updated 5:01 AM ET
86%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Aug 5 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 86% | 86% | ▲ 1 |
Full history table
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | 86% |
| 2026-08-05 | 86% |
| 2026-08-04 | 89% |
| 2026-08-03 | 90% |
| 2026-08-02 | 88% |
| 2026-08-01 | 90% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.
Common questions
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027 — what are the odds?
- As of August 6, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 86%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027 — have the odds gone up or down?
- Down. Over the 6 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 90% on August 1, 2026 to 86% on August 6, 2026 — a change of 4 points.
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027 — what are the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 6 tracked days the odds ranged between 86% and 90%. The current reading of 86% sits inside that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027” for 6 days, since August 1, 2026. As of August 6, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 86%. The chance for a yes has fallen from 90% to 86%, ranging between 86% and 90% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.