Final tracked odds
As of October 5, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 2%.
▼ 2 since the previous update. ▼ 2 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Will at least 15 dates from Ed Sheeran 's Loop Tour 2026 be cancelled?
Everything Else · tracked since September 18, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on October 5, 2026
2%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Sep 28 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 15 dates cancelled | 4% | 2% | ▼ 2 |
Full history table
| Date | At least 15 dates cancelled |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 2% |
| 2026-09-28 | 4% |
| 2026-09-22 | 4% |
| 2026-09-21 | 4% |
| 2026-09-20 | 4% |
| 2026-09-19 | 5% |
| 2026-09-18 | 8% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Will at least 15 dates from Ed Sheeran 's Loop Tour 2026 be cancelled — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, October 5, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 2%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Will at least 15 dates from Ed Sheeran 's Loop Tour 2026 be cancelled — did the odds go up or down?
- Down. Over the 7 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 8% on September 18, 2026 to 2% on October 5, 2026 — a change of 6 points.
- Will at least 15 dates from Ed Sheeran 's Loop Tour 2026 be cancelled — what were the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 7 tracked days the odds ranged between 2% and 8%. The final reading of 2% sits at the bottom of that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will at least 15 dates from Ed Sheeran 's Loop Tour 2026 be cancelled” for 7 days, since September 18, 2026. As of October 5, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 2%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 8% to 2%, ranging between 2% and 8% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on October 5, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.