Today’s odds
As of August 31, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 56%.
▼ 15 since the previous update. ▼ 15 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Everything Else · tracked since July 9, 2026 · last updated 5:00 AM ET
56%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Jul 19 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 70% | 56% | ▼ 15 |
Full history table
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | 56% |
| 2026-07-19 | 70% |
| 2026-07-18 | 70% |
| 2026-07-17 | 70% |
| 2026-07-16 | 71% |
| 2026-07-14 | 71% |
| 2026-07-09 | 72% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.
Common questions
- Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026 — what are the odds?
- As of August 31, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 56%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026 — have the odds gone up or down?
- Down. Over the 7 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 72% on July 9, 2026 to 56% on August 31, 2026 — a change of 16 points.
- Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026 — what are the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 7 tracked days the odds ranged between 56% and 72%. The current reading of 56% sits at the bottom of that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026” for 7 days, since July 9, 2026. As of August 31, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 56%. The chance for a yes has fallen from 72% to 56%, ranging between 56% and 72% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.