Final tracked odds
As of September 8, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 52%.
▼ 1 since the previous update. ▼ 4 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Everything Else · tracked since July 9, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on September 8, 2026
52%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Sep 7 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53% | 52% | ▼ 1 |
Full history table
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | 52% |
| 2026-09-07 | 53% |
| 2026-09-06 | 56% |
| 2026-09-05 | 56% |
| 2026-09-04 | 56% |
| 2026-09-02 | 56% |
| 2026-08-31 | 56% |
| 2026-07-19 | 70% |
| 2026-07-18 | 70% |
| 2026-07-17 | 70% |
| 2026-07-16 | 71% |
| 2026-07-14 | 71% |
| 2026-07-09 | 72% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026 — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, September 8, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 52%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026 — did the odds go up or down?
- Down. Over the 13 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 72% on July 9, 2026 to 52% on September 8, 2026 — a change of 20 points.
- Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026 — what were the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 13 tracked days the odds ranged between 52% and 72%. The final reading of 52% sits at the bottom of that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026” for 13 days, since July 9, 2026. As of September 8, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 52%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 72% to 52%, ranging between 52% and 72% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on September 8, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.