Final tracked odds
As of September 30, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 50%.
▲ 22 since the previous update. ▲ 28 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
Everything Else · tracked since July 7, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on September 30, 2026
50%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Sep 29 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 28% | 50% | ▲ 22 |
Full history table
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | 50% |
| 2026-09-29 | 28% |
| 2026-09-28 | 25% |
| 2026-09-27 | 22% |
| 2026-09-26 | 22% |
| 2026-09-25 | 23% |
| 2026-09-24 | 22% |
| 2026-09-23 | 22% |
| 2026-09-22 | 22% |
| 2026-09-21 | 19% |
| 2026-09-20 | 18% |
| 2026-09-19 | 21% |
| 2026-09-18 | 15% |
| 2026-09-17 | 14% |
| 2026-09-16 | 18% |
| 2026-09-15 | 18% |
| 2026-09-14 | 22% |
| 2026-09-13 | 22% |
| 2026-09-12 | 24% |
| 2026-09-11 | 22% |
| 2026-09-10 | 23% |
| 2026-09-09 | 26% |
| 2026-09-08 | 24% |
| 2026-09-07 | 24% |
| 2026-09-06 | 27% |
| 2026-09-05 | 27% |
| 2026-09-04 | 26% |
| 2026-09-03 | 27% |
| 2026-09-02 | 30% |
| 2026-09-01 | 28% |
| 2026-08-26 | 26% |
| 2026-08-24 | 28% |
| 2026-08-23 | 28% |
| 2026-08-22 | 29% |
| 2026-08-21 | 31% |
| 2026-08-20 | 31% |
| 2026-08-19 | 30% |
| 2026-08-18 | 28% |
| 2026-08-17 | 30% |
| 2026-08-16 | 28% |
| 2026-08-15 | 28% |
| 2026-08-14 | 28% |
| 2026-08-13 | 26% |
| 2026-08-12 | 26% |
| 2026-08-11 | 29% |
| 2026-07-31 | 30% |
| 2026-07-30 | 30% |
| 2026-07-29 | 30% |
| 2026-07-28 | 30% |
| 2026-07-27 | 30% |
| 2026-07-26 | 28% |
| 2026-07-25 | 28% |
| 2026-07-24 | 28% |
| 2026-07-23 | 26% |
| 2026-07-22 | 26% |
| 2026-07-21 | 26% |
| 2026-07-19 | 26% |
| 2026-07-18 | 28% |
| 2026-07-17 | 28% |
| 2026-07-16 | 29% |
| 2026-07-15 | 36% |
| 2026-07-14 | 42% |
| 2026-07-13 | 55% |
| 2026-07-12 | 34% |
| 2026-07-11 | 32% |
| 2026-07-10 | 32% |
| 2026-07-09 | 40% |
| 2026-07-08 | 40% |
| 2026-07-07 | 36% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Will Apple release a new product line before 2027 — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, September 30, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 50%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Will Apple release a new product line before 2027 — did the odds go up or down?
- Up. Over the 69 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 36% on July 7, 2026 to 50% on September 30, 2026 — a change of 14 points.
- Will Apple release a new product line before 2027 — what were the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 69 tracked days the odds ranged between 14% and 55%. The final reading of 50% sits inside that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Apple release a new product line before 2027” for 69 days, since July 7, 2026. As of September 30, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 50%. The final tracked chance for a yes has risen from 36% to 50%, ranging between 14% and 55% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on September 30, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.