Final tracked odds
As of September 20, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 64%.
▲ 1 since the previous update. ▲ 1 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Everything Else · tracked since July 7, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on September 20, 2026
64%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Sep 13 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 64% | 64% | ▲ 1 |
Full history table
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | 64% |
| 2026-09-13 | 64% |
| 2026-09-08 | 64% |
| 2026-09-07 | 63% |
| 2026-09-06 | 64% |
| 2026-09-05 | 60% |
| 2026-09-04 | 60% |
| 2026-09-03 | 60% |
| 2026-09-02 | 60% |
| 2026-09-01 | 60% |
| 2026-08-31 | 60% |
| 2026-08-30 | 62% |
| 2026-08-29 | 57% |
| 2026-08-28 | 62% |
| 2026-08-27 | 62% |
| 2026-08-26 | 68% |
| 2026-08-25 | 68% |
| 2026-08-24 | 68% |
| 2026-08-23 | 67% |
| 2026-08-22 | 68% |
| 2026-08-21 | 70% |
| 2026-08-20 | 68% |
| 2026-08-19 | 67% |
| 2026-08-18 | 68% |
| 2026-08-17 | 68% |
| 2026-08-16 | 68% |
| 2026-08-15 | 68% |
| 2026-08-14 | 68% |
| 2026-08-13 | 70% |
| 2026-08-12 | 71% |
| 2026-08-11 | 67% |
| 2026-08-10 | 67% |
| 2026-08-09 | 68% |
| 2026-08-08 | 68% |
| 2026-08-07 | 68% |
| 2026-08-06 | 67% |
| 2026-08-05 | 67% |
| 2026-08-04 | 68% |
| 2026-08-03 | 67% |
| 2026-08-02 | 66% |
| 2026-07-31 | 66% |
| 2026-07-30 | 68% |
| 2026-07-29 | 66% |
| 2026-07-28 | 73% |
| 2026-07-27 | 76% |
| 2026-07-26 | 76% |
| 2026-07-25 | 76% |
| 2026-07-24 | 76% |
| 2026-07-23 | 76% |
| 2026-07-22 | 76% |
| 2026-07-21 | 76% |
| 2026-07-20 | 76% |
| 2026-07-19 | 78% |
| 2026-07-18 | 80% |
| 2026-07-17 | 80% |
| 2026-07-16 | 80% |
| 2026-07-15 | 80% |
| 2026-07-14 | 80% |
| 2026-07-13 | 79% |
| 2026-07-12 | 79% |
| 2026-07-11 | 81% |
| 2026-07-10 | 78% |
| 2026-07-09 | 78% |
| 2026-07-08 | 78% |
| 2026-07-07 | 78% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, September 20, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 64%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch — did the odds go up or down?
- Down. Over the 65 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 78% on July 7, 2026 to 64% on September 20, 2026 — a change of 14 points.
- Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch — what were the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 65 tracked days the odds ranged between 57% and 81%. The final reading of 64% sits inside that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch” for 65 days, since July 7, 2026. As of September 20, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 64%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 78% to 64%, ranging between 57% and 81% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on September 20, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.