Today’s odds
As of October 12, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 87%.
▲ 3 since the previous update. ▲ 28 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Everything Else · tracked since September 21, 2026 · last updated 5:00 AM ET
87%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Oct 11 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 84% | 87% | ▲ 3 |
Full history table
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | 87% |
| 2026-10-11 | 84% |
| 2026-10-10 | 80% |
| 2026-10-09 | 81% |
| 2026-10-08 | 80% |
| 2026-10-07 | 78% |
| 2026-10-06 | 78% |
| 2026-10-05 | 60% |
| 2026-10-04 | 62% |
| 2026-10-03 | 62% |
| 2026-10-02 | 62% |
| 2026-10-01 | 62% |
| 2026-09-29 | 64% |
| 2026-09-28 | 64% |
| 2026-09-26 | 68% |
| 2026-09-25 | 65% |
| 2026-09-24 | 66% |
| 2026-09-23 | 61% |
| 2026-09-22 | 57% |
| 2026-09-21 | 58% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.
Common questions
- Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch — what are the odds?
- As of October 12, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 87%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch — have the odds gone up or down?
- Up. Over the 20 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 58% on September 21, 2026 to 87% on October 12, 2026 — a change of 29 points.
- Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch — what are the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 20 tracked days the odds ranged between 57% and 87%. The current reading of 87% sits at the top of that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch” for 20 days, since September 21, 2026. As of October 12, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 87%. The chance for a yes has risen from 58% to 87%, ranging between 57% and 87% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.