Today’s odds
As of August 6, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 34%.
Unchanged since the previous update. ▼ 1 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Everything Else · tracked since August 1, 2026 · last updated 5:01 AM ET
34%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Aug 5 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 34% | 34% | — |
Full history table
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | 34% |
| 2026-08-05 | 34% |
| 2026-08-04 | 34% |
| 2026-08-03 | 36% |
| 2026-08-02 | 38% |
| 2026-08-01 | 34% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.
Common questions
- Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch — what are the odds?
- As of August 6, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 34%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch — how much have the odds move?
- Barely. Across 6 tracked days the odds held near 34%, ending at 34% on August 6, 2026 — a question the market has not changed its mind about.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch” for 6 days, since August 1, 2026. As of August 6, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 34%. The chance for a yes has held near 34%, ranging between 34% and 38% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.