Today’s odds
As of October 12, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 7%.
Unchanged since the previous update. ▼ 5 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Everything Else · tracked since August 1, 2026 · last updated 5:00 AM ET
Today’s odds
Unchanged since the previous update. ▼ 5 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
| Outcome | Oct 11 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 7% | 7% | — |
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | 7% |
| 2026-10-11 | 7% |
| 2026-10-10 | 10% |
| 2026-10-09 | 9% |
| 2026-10-08 | 9% |
| 2026-10-07 | 10% |
| 2026-10-06 | 5% |
| 2026-08-02 | 12% |
| 2026-08-01 | 12% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch” for 9 days, since August 1, 2026. As of October 12, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 7%. The chance for a yes has fallen from 12% to 7%, ranging between 5% and 12% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.