Today’s odds
As of July 29, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 2%.
Unchanged since the previous update. ▼ 7 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Rain in Seattle in Jul 2026?
Everything Else · tracked since July 7, 2026 · last updated 5:01 AM ET
2%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Jul 28 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 1 inch | 2% | 2% | — |
Full history table
| Date | Above 1 inch |
|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | 2% |
| 2026-07-28 | 2% |
| 2026-07-27 | 2% |
| 2026-07-26 | 2% |
| 2026-07-25 | 8% |
| 2026-07-24 | 10% |
| 2026-07-23 | 10% |
| 2026-07-22 | 10% |
| 2026-07-21 | 14% |
| 2026-07-20 | 10% |
| 2026-07-19 | 14% |
| 2026-07-18 | 16% |
| 2026-07-17 | 14% |
| 2026-07-16 | 28% |
| 2026-07-15 | 12% |
| 2026-07-14 | 14% |
| 2026-07-13 | 20% |
| 2026-07-12 | 16% |
| 2026-07-11 | 10% |
| 2026-07-10 | 10% |
| 2026-07-09 | 10% |
| 2026-07-08 | 12% |
| 2026-07-07 | 12% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.
Common questions
- Rain in Seattle in Jul 2026 — what are the odds?
- As of July 29, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 2%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Rain in Seattle in Jul 2026 — have the odds gone up or down?
- Down. Over the 23 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 12% on July 7, 2026 to 2% on July 29, 2026 — a change of 10 points.
- Rain in Seattle in Jul 2026 — what are the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 23 tracked days the odds ranged between 2% and 28%. The current reading of 2% sits at the bottom of that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Rain in Seattle in Jul 2026” for 23 days, since July 7, 2026. As of July 29, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 2%. The chance for a yes has fallen from 12% to 2%, ranging between 2% and 28% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.