Final tracked odds
As of September 24, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 99.5%.
Unchanged since the previous update. ▲ 32 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
Everything Else · tracked since August 19, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on September 24, 2026
99.5%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Sep 23 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 99.1% | 99.5% | — |
Full history table
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | 99.5% |
| 2026-09-23 | 99.1% |
| 2026-09-22 | 99.2% |
| 2026-09-21 | 98% |
| 2026-09-08 | 68% |
| 2026-09-07 | 64% |
| 2026-09-06 | 64% |
| 2026-09-05 | 64% |
| 2026-09-04 | 64% |
| 2026-09-03 | 64% |
| 2026-09-02 | 64% |
| 2026-09-01 | 66% |
| 2026-08-20 | 64% |
| 2026-08-19 | 62% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, September 24, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 99.5%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region — did the odds go up or down?
- Up. Over the 14 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 62% on August 19, 2026 to 99.5% on September 24, 2026 — a change of 38 points.
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region — what were the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 14 tracked days the odds ranged between 62% and 99.5%. The final reading of 99.5% sits at the top of that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region” for 14 days, since August 19, 2026. As of September 24, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 99.5%. The final tracked chance for a yes has risen from 62% to 99.5%, ranging between 62% and 99.5% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on September 24, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.