Today’s odds
As of July 29, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 94%.
Unchanged since the previous update. ▼ 1 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?
Everything Else · tracked since July 7, 2026 · last updated 5:01 AM ET
94%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Jul 28 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 94% | 94% | — |
Full history table
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | 94% |
| 2026-07-28 | 94% |
| 2026-07-26 | 94% |
| 2026-07-25 | 95% |
| 2026-07-24 | 95% |
| 2026-07-23 | 95% |
| 2026-07-22 | 95% |
| 2026-07-19 | 93% |
| 2026-07-18 | 93% |
| 2026-07-17 | 93% |
| 2026-07-16 | 95% |
| 2026-07-15 | 95% |
| 2026-07-14 | 97% |
| 2026-07-13 | 97% |
| 2026-07-12 | 97% |
| 2026-07-11 | 96% |
| 2026-07-10 | 96% |
| 2026-07-09 | 97% |
| 2026-07-08 | 96% |
| 2026-07-07 | 96% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.
Common questions
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31 — what are the odds?
- As of July 29, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 94%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31 — have the odds gone up or down?
- Down. Over the 20 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 96% on July 7, 2026 to 94% on July 29, 2026 — a change of 2 points.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31” for 20 days, since July 7, 2026. As of July 29, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 94%. The chance for a yes has fallen from 96% to 94%, ranging between 93% and 97% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.