Final tracked odds
As of September 30, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 67%.
▲ 16 since the previous update. ▼ 25 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?
Everything Else · tracked since July 7, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on September 30, 2026
67%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Sep 28 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51% | 67% | ▲ 16 |
Full history table
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | 67% |
| 2026-09-28 | 51% |
| 2026-09-27 | 59% |
| 2026-09-26 | 70% |
| 2026-09-25 | 76% |
| 2026-09-24 | 78% |
| 2026-09-23 | 92% |
| 2026-09-22 | 85% |
| 2026-09-21 | 82% |
| 2026-09-20 | 85% |
| 2026-09-19 | 85% |
| 2026-09-18 | 83% |
| 2026-09-17 | 81% |
| 2026-09-16 | 86% |
| 2026-09-15 | 91% |
| 2026-09-14 | 93% |
| 2026-09-13 | 94% |
| 2026-09-12 | 94% |
| 2026-09-11 | 91% |
| 2026-09-10 | 89% |
| 2026-09-09 | 96% |
| 2026-09-08 | 96% |
| 2026-09-07 | 96% |
| 2026-09-06 | 95% |
| 2026-09-05 | 95% |
| 2026-09-04 | 95% |
| 2026-09-03 | 96% |
| 2026-09-02 | 95% |
| 2026-09-01 | 95% |
| 2026-08-31 | 95% |
| 2026-08-30 | 91% |
| 2026-08-29 | 91% |
| 2026-08-28 | 89% |
| 2026-08-27 | 89% |
| 2026-08-26 | 91% |
| 2026-08-25 | 91% |
| 2026-08-24 | 87% |
| 2026-08-23 | 87% |
| 2026-08-22 | 87% |
| 2026-08-21 | 88% |
| 2026-08-20 | 86% |
| 2026-08-19 | 87% |
| 2026-08-18 | 87% |
| 2026-08-17 | 87% |
| 2026-08-15 | 88% |
| 2026-08-14 | 86% |
| 2026-07-31 | 93% |
| 2026-07-30 | 92% |
| 2026-07-29 | 93% |
| 2026-07-28 | 94% |
| 2026-07-26 | 94% |
| 2026-07-25 | 95% |
| 2026-07-24 | 95% |
| 2026-07-23 | 95% |
| 2026-07-22 | 95% |
| 2026-07-19 | 93% |
| 2026-07-18 | 93% |
| 2026-07-17 | 93% |
| 2026-07-16 | 95% |
| 2026-07-15 | 95% |
| 2026-07-14 | 97% |
| 2026-07-13 | 97% |
| 2026-07-12 | 97% |
| 2026-07-11 | 96% |
| 2026-07-10 | 96% |
| 2026-07-09 | 97% |
| 2026-07-08 | 96% |
| 2026-07-07 | 96% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31 — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, September 30, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 67%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31 — did the odds go up or down?
- Down. Over the 68 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 96% on July 7, 2026 to 67% on September 30, 2026 — a change of 29 points.
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31 — what were the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 68 tracked days the odds ranged between 51% and 97%. The final reading of 67% sits inside that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31” for 68 days, since July 7, 2026. As of September 30, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 67%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 96% to 67%, ranging between 51% and 97% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on September 30, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.