Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch — what are the odds?

As of October 12, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 82%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.

Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch — have the odds gone up or down?

Up. Over the 7 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 68% on October 6, 2026 to 82% on October 12, 2026 — a change of 14 points.

Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch — what are the highest and lowest odds?

Over 7 tracked days the odds ranged between 66% and 82%. The current reading of 82% sits at the top of that range.

Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Name: Daily market-consensus odds: Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Creator: The Morning Line
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Everything Else · tracked since October 6, 2026 · last updated 5:00 AM ET

82%

Today’s odds

As of October 12, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 82%.

▲ 2 since the previous update. ▲ 14 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

Every outcome we track

Outcome	Oct 11	Today	Move
Yes	80%	82%	▲ 2

Full history table

Date	Yes
2026-10-12	82%
2026-10-11	80%
2026-10-10	76%
2026-10-09	72%
2026-10-08	66%
2026-10-07	74%
2026-10-06	68%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.

Common questions

Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch — what are the odds?: As of October 12, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 82%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch — have the odds gone up or down?: Up. Over the 7 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 68% on October 6, 2026 to 82% on October 12, 2026 — a change of 14 points.
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch — what are the highest and lowest odds?: Over 7 tracked days the odds ranged between 66% and 82%. The current reading of 82% sits at the top of that range.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch” for 7 days, since October 6, 2026. As of October 12, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 82%. The chance for a yes has risen from 68% to 82%, ranging between 66% and 82% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.