The Morning Line

Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Everything Else · tracked since July 8, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on October 4, 2026

10%

Final tracked odds

As of October 4, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 10%.

▼ 6 since the previous update. ▼ 12 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%Jul 8Jul 30Aug 20Sep 15Oct 4Yes — Jul 8: 22%Yes — Oct 4: 10%10%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeSep 30TodayMove
Yes16%10%▼ 6
Full history table
DateYes
2026-10-0410%
2026-09-3016%
2026-09-2922%
2026-09-2822%
2026-09-2722%
2026-09-2622%
2026-09-2522%
2026-09-2421%
2026-09-2314%
2026-09-2217%
2026-09-2119%
2026-09-2016%
2026-09-1914%
2026-09-1814%
2026-09-1714%
2026-09-1614%
2026-09-1518%
2026-09-1418%
2026-09-1318%
2026-09-1220%
2026-09-1120%
2026-09-1020%
2026-09-0922%
2026-09-0822%
2026-09-0720%
2026-09-0620%
2026-09-0520%
2026-09-0420%
2026-09-0320%
2026-09-0220%
2026-09-0120%
2026-08-2221%
2026-08-2121%
2026-08-2016%
2026-08-1914%
2026-08-1814%
2026-08-1714%
2026-08-1614%
2026-08-1514%
2026-08-1414%
2026-08-1314%
2026-08-1215%
2026-08-1112%
2026-08-1011%
2026-08-0911%
2026-08-0810%
2026-08-0710%
2026-08-0310%
2026-08-0212%
2026-07-3116%
2026-07-3016%
2026-07-2920%
2026-07-2819%
2026-07-2721%
2026-07-2620%
2026-07-2521%
2026-07-2421%
2026-07-2320%
2026-07-2221%
2026-07-2122%
2026-07-2021%
2026-07-1624%
2026-07-1524%
2026-07-1322%
2026-07-1226%
2026-07-0926%
2026-07-0822%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch — what were the odds?
As of the last morning we tracked it, October 4, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 10%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch — did the odds go up or down?
Down. Over the 67 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 22% on July 8, 2026 to 10% on October 4, 2026 — a change of 12 points.
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch — what were the highest and lowest odds?
Over 67 tracked days the odds ranged between 10% and 26%. The final reading of 10% sits inside that range.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch” for 67 days, since July 8, 2026. As of October 4, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 10%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 22% to 10%, ranging between 10% and 26% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on October 4, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.

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