Today’s odds
As of October 12, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 4%.
Unchanged since the previous update. ▲ 2 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Everything Else · tracked since July 20, 2026 · last updated 5:00 AM ET
4%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Oct 11 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 4% | 4% | — |
Full history table
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | 4% |
| 2026-10-11 | 4% |
| 2026-10-10 | 4% |
| 2026-10-09 | 3% |
| 2026-10-08 | 4% |
| 2026-10-07 | 2% |
| 2026-10-06 | 3% |
| 2026-10-05 | 2% |
| 2026-10-03 | 4% |
| 2026-10-02 | 4% |
| 2026-10-01 | 4% |
| 2026-09-26 | 5% |
| 2026-09-25 | 6% |
| 2026-09-24 | 6% |
| 2026-09-23 | 5% |
| 2026-09-22 | 5% |
| 2026-09-21 | 5% |
| 2026-09-17 | 6% |
| 2026-09-15 | 6% |
| 2026-09-14 | 6% |
| 2026-09-12 | 6% |
| 2026-09-11 | 6% |
| 2026-09-10 | 6% |
| 2026-09-09 | 6% |
| 2026-09-03 | 6% |
| 2026-08-14 | 4% |
| 2026-08-11 | 4% |
| 2026-08-10 | 4% |
| 2026-08-09 | 4% |
| 2026-08-08 | 4% |
| 2026-08-07 | 4% |
| 2026-08-06 | 4% |
| 2026-08-05 | 4% |
| 2026-08-04 | 4% |
| 2026-08-03 | 4% |
| 2026-08-02 | 4% |
| 2026-08-01 | 5% |
| 2026-07-21 | 6% |
| 2026-07-20 | 6% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.
Common questions
- Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch — what are the odds?
- As of October 12, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 4%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch — have the odds gone up or down?
- Down. Over the 39 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 6% on July 20, 2026 to 4% on October 12, 2026 — a change of 2 points.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch” for 39 days, since July 20, 2026. As of October 12, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 4%. The chance for a yes has fallen from 6% to 4%, ranging between 2% and 6% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.