Today’s odds
As of November 4, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 31%.
▲ 6 since the previous update. ▲ 2 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?
Everything Else · tracked since August 1, 2026 · last updated 3:00 PM ET
31%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Nov 2 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 25% | 31% | ▲ 6 |
Full history table
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-11-04 | 31% |
| 2026-11-02 | 25% |
| 2026-11-01 | 24% |
| 2026-10-04 | 28% |
| 2026-10-03 | 28% |
| 2026-09-30 | 28% |
| 2026-09-29 | 28% |
| 2026-09-28 | 28% |
| 2026-09-25 | 27% |
| 2026-09-24 | 29% |
| 2026-09-23 | 28% |
| 2026-09-22 | 24% |
| 2026-09-21 | 23% |
| 2026-09-18 | 23% |
| 2026-09-17 | 23% |
| 2026-09-16 | 22% |
| 2026-09-15 | 22% |
| 2026-09-14 | 22% |
| 2026-09-11 | 22% |
| 2026-09-10 | 22% |
| 2026-09-01 | 22% |
| 2026-08-08 | 22% |
| 2026-08-07 | 22% |
| 2026-08-06 | 22% |
| 2026-08-05 | 21% |
| 2026-08-04 | 17% |
| 2026-08-03 | 21% |
| 2026-08-02 | 18% |
| 2026-08-01 | 23% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.
Common questions
- Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch — what are the odds?
- As of November 4, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 31%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch — have the odds gone up or down?
- Up. Over the 29 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 23% on August 1, 2026 to 31% on November 4, 2026 — a change of 8 points.
- Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch — what are the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 29 tracked days the odds ranged between 17% and 31%. The current reading of 31% sits at the top of that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch” for 29 days, since August 1, 2026. As of November 4, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 31%. The chance for a yes has risen from 23% to 31%, ranging between 17% and 31% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.