Final tracked odds
As of September 20, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 72%.
▲ 2 since the previous update. ▲ 2 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Everything Else · tracked since July 7, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on September 20, 2026
72%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Sep 13 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 70% | 72% | ▲ 2 |
Full history table
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | 72% |
| 2026-09-13 | 70% |
| 2026-09-12 | 70% |
| 2026-09-08 | 70% |
| 2026-09-07 | 70% |
| 2026-09-06 | 70% |
| 2026-09-05 | 70% |
| 2026-09-04 | 72% |
| 2026-09-03 | 72% |
| 2026-09-02 | 72% |
| 2026-09-01 | 70% |
| 2026-08-31 | 70% |
| 2026-08-30 | 72% |
| 2026-08-29 | 70% |
| 2026-08-28 | 71% |
| 2026-08-27 | 72% |
| 2026-08-26 | 74% |
| 2026-08-25 | 74% |
| 2026-08-24 | 74% |
| 2026-08-23 | 74% |
| 2026-08-22 | 74% |
| 2026-08-21 | 74% |
| 2026-08-20 | 74% |
| 2026-08-19 | 72% |
| 2026-08-18 | 73% |
| 2026-08-12 | 74% |
| 2026-08-11 | 74% |
| 2026-07-31 | 76% |
| 2026-07-30 | 76% |
| 2026-07-29 | 80% |
| 2026-07-26 | 80% |
| 2026-07-25 | 80% |
| 2026-07-24 | 82% |
| 2026-07-23 | 82% |
| 2026-07-19 | 82% |
| 2026-07-18 | 82% |
| 2026-07-17 | 82% |
| 2026-07-16 | 82% |
| 2026-07-15 | 82% |
| 2026-07-14 | 82% |
| 2026-07-13 | 83% |
| 2026-07-12 | 84% |
| 2026-07-11 | 85% |
| 2026-07-10 | 86% |
| 2026-07-09 | 84% |
| 2026-07-07 | 82% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, September 20, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 72%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch — did the odds go up or down?
- Down. Over the 46 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 82% on July 7, 2026 to 72% on September 20, 2026 — a change of 10 points.
- Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch — what were the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 46 tracked days the odds ranged between 70% and 86%. The final reading of 72% sits inside that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch” for 46 days, since July 7, 2026. As of September 20, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 72%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 82% to 72%, ranging between 70% and 86% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on September 20, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.