Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch — what were the odds?

As of the last morning we tracked it, November 3, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 53%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.

Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch — did the odds go up or down?

Down. Over the 7 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 73% on October 28, 2026 to 53% on November 3, 2026 — a change of 20 points.

Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch — what were the highest and lowest odds?

Over 7 tracked days the odds ranged between 51% and 73%. The final reading of 53% sits inside that range.

Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Name: Daily market-consensus odds: Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Creator: The Morning Line
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Everything Else · tracked since October 28, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on November 3, 2026

53%

Final tracked odds

As of November 3, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 53%.

Unchanged since the previous update. ▼ 20 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

Every outcome we track

Outcome	Nov 2	Today	Move
Yes	53%	53%	—

Full history table

Date	Yes
2026-11-03	53%
2026-11-02	53%
2026-11-01	55%
2026-10-31	56%
2026-10-30	53%
2026-10-29	51%
2026-10-28	73%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch — what were the odds?: As of the last morning we tracked it, November 3, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 53%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch — did the odds go up or down?: Down. Over the 7 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 73% on October 28, 2026 to 53% on November 3, 2026 — a change of 20 points.
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch — what were the highest and lowest odds?: Over 7 tracked days the odds ranged between 51% and 73%. The final reading of 53% sits inside that range.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch” for 7 days, since October 28, 2026. As of November 3, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 53%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 73% to 53%, ranging between 51% and 73% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on November 3, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.