Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December — what were the odds?

As of the last morning we tracked it, September 20, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 10%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December — did the odds go up or down?

Up. Over the 51 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 8% on August 1, 2026 to 10% on September 20, 2026 — a change of 2 points.

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December — what were the highest and lowest odds?

Over 51 tracked days the odds ranged between 8% and 20%. The final reading of 10% sits inside that range.

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?

Name: Daily market-consensus odds: Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
Creator: The Morning Line
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Everything Else · tracked since August 1, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on September 20, 2026

10%

Final tracked odds

As of September 20, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 10%.

Unchanged since the previous update. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

Every outcome we track

Outcome	Sep 19	Today	Move
Yes	10%	10%	—

Full history table

Date	Yes
2026-09-20	10%
2026-09-19	10%
2026-09-18	10%
2026-09-17	10%
2026-09-16	10%
2026-09-15	10%
2026-09-14	12%
2026-09-13	10%
2026-09-12	10%
2026-09-11	10%
2026-09-10	10%
2026-09-09	10%
2026-09-08	10%
2026-09-07	10%
2026-09-06	10%
2026-09-05	10%
2026-09-04	10%
2026-09-03	12%
2026-09-02	12%
2026-09-01	12%
2026-08-31	12%
2026-08-30	12%
2026-08-29	12%
2026-08-28	12%
2026-08-27	16%
2026-08-26	14%
2026-08-25	20%
2026-08-24	14%
2026-08-23	13%
2026-08-22	12%
2026-08-21	13%
2026-08-20	10%
2026-08-19	14%
2026-08-18	10%
2026-08-17	12%
2026-08-16	10%
2026-08-15	10%
2026-08-14	10%
2026-08-13	10%
2026-08-12	10%
2026-08-11	10%
2026-08-10	10%
2026-08-09	10%
2026-08-08	10%
2026-08-07	12%
2026-08-06	10%
2026-08-05	10%
2026-08-04	8%
2026-08-03	8%
2026-08-02	8%
2026-08-01	8%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December — what were the odds?: As of the last morning we tracked it, September 20, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 10%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December — did the odds go up or down?: Up. Over the 51 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 8% on August 1, 2026 to 10% on September 20, 2026 — a change of 2 points.
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December — what were the highest and lowest odds?: Over 51 tracked days the odds ranged between 8% and 20%. The final reading of 10% sits inside that range.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December” for 51 days, since August 1, 2026. As of September 20, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 10%. The final tracked chance for a yes has held near 8%, ranging between 8% and 20% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on September 20, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.