Today’s odds
As of October 14, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 38%.
▲ 8 since the previous update. ▲ 8 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Everything Else · tracked since October 13, 2026 · last updated 5:01 AM ET
Today’s odds
▲ 8 since the previous update. ▲ 8 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
| Outcome | Oct 13 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 31% | 38% | ▲ 8 |
| Date | Before Jan 1, 2027 |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | 38% |
| 2026-10-13 | 31% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Katie Zacharia be out as White House Press Secretary before Jan 1, 2027” for 2 days, since October 13, 2026. As of October 14, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 38%. The chance for a yes has risen from 31% to 38%, ranging between 31% and 38% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.