Today’s odds
As of October 14, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 16%.
▲ 4 since the previous update. ▲ 4 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Will Katie Zacharia be out as White House Press Secretary before Nov 1, 2026?
Everything Else · tracked since October 13, 2026 · last updated 5:01 AM ET
16%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Oct 13 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | 12% | 16% | ▲ 4 |
Full history table
| Date | Before Nov 1, 2026 |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | 16% |
| 2026-10-13 | 12% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.
Common questions
- Will Katie Zacharia be out as White House Press Secretary before Nov 1, 2026 — what are the odds?
- As of October 14, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 16%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Will Katie Zacharia be out as White House Press Secretary before Nov 1, 2026 — have the odds gone up or down?
- Up. Over the 2 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 12% on October 13, 2026 to 16% on October 14, 2026 — a change of 4 points.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Katie Zacharia be out as White House Press Secretary before Nov 1, 2026” for 2 days, since October 13, 2026. As of October 14, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 16%. The chance for a yes has risen from 12% to 16%, ranging between 12% and 16% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.