The Morning Line

Will Kimberly Guilfoyle be out as US Ambassador to Greece before Nov 1, 2026?

Everything Else · tracked since October 9, 2026 · last updated 5:01 AM ET

68%

Today’s odds

As of October 13, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 68%.

▼ 8 since the previous update. ▲ 49 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%Oct 9Oct 10Oct 11Oct 12Oct 13Before Nov 1, 2026 — Oct 9: 20%Before Nov 1, 2026 — Oct 10: 20%Before Nov 1, 2026 — Oct 11: 40%Before Nov 1, 2026 — Oct 12: 77%Before Nov 1, 2026 — Oct 13: 68%68%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeOct 12TodayMove
Before Nov 1, 202677%68%▼ 8
Full history table
DateBefore Nov 1, 2026
2026-10-1368%
2026-10-1277%
2026-10-1140%
2026-10-1020%
2026-10-0920%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.

Common questions

Will Kimberly Guilfoyle be out as US Ambassador to Greece before Nov 1, 2026 — what are the odds?
As of October 13, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 68%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Will Kimberly Guilfoyle be out as US Ambassador to Greece before Nov 1, 2026 — have the odds gone up or down?
Up. Over the 5 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 20% on October 9, 2026 to 68% on October 13, 2026 — a change of 48 points.
Will Kimberly Guilfoyle be out as US Ambassador to Greece before Nov 1, 2026 — what are the highest and lowest odds?
Over 5 tracked days the odds ranged between 20% and 77%. The current reading of 68% sits inside that range.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Kimberly Guilfoyle be out as US Ambassador to Greece before Nov 1, 2026” for 5 days, since October 9, 2026. As of October 13, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 68%. The chance for a yes has risen from 20% to 68%, ranging between 20% and 77% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.

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