Everything Else · tracked since July 7, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on July 12, 2026
Final tracked odds
▼ 2 since the previous update. ▼ 8 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
What happened: The market said 3% on July 12, 2026. It didn't happen.
| Outcome | Jul 11 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aniya and Carl | 4% | 3% | ▼ 2 |
| Date | Aniya and Carl |
|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | 3% |
| 2026-07-11 | 4% |
| 2026-07-10 | 7% |
| 2026-07-09 | 4% |
| 2026-07-08 | 4% |
| 2026-07-07 | 4% |
| 2026-07-06 * | 13% |
| 2026-07-05 * | 11% |
| 2026-07-04 * | 15% |
| 2026-07-03 * | 13% |
| 2026-07-02 * | 10% |
| 2026-07-01 * | 14% |
| 2026-06-30 * | 10% |
| 2026-06-29 * | 12% |
| 2026-06-28 * | 9% |
| 2026-06-27 * | 12% |
| 2026-06-26 * | 6% |
| 2026-06-25 * | 9% |
| 2026-06-24 * | 8% |
* reference history from the market’s own records, before our tracking began.
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Aniya and Carl win Love Island USA Season 8” for 6 days, since July 7, 2026. As of July 12, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 3%. The final tracked chance for a yes has held near 4%, ranging between 3% and 7% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on July 12, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.