Final tracked odds
As of August 20, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 18%.
▲ 5 since the previous update. ▲ 4 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?
Everything Else · tracked since August 13, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on August 20, 2026
18%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Aug 19 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anna Kelly | 14% | 18% | ▲ 5 |
Full history table
| Date | Anna Kelly |
|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | 18% |
| 2026-08-19 | 14% |
| 2026-08-18 | 26% |
| 2026-08-17 | 26% |
| 2026-08-16 | 32% |
| 2026-08-15 | 44% |
| 2026-08-14 | 26% |
| 2026-08-13 | 14% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary of United States — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, August 20, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 18%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary of United States — did the odds go up or down?
- Up. Over the 8 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 14% on August 13, 2026 to 18% on August 20, 2026 — a change of 4 points.
- Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary of United States — what were the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 8 tracked days the odds ranged between 14% and 44%. The final reading of 18% sits inside that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary of United States” for 8 days, since August 13, 2026. As of August 20, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 18%. The final tracked chance for a yes has risen from 14% to 18%, ranging between 14% and 44% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on August 20, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.