Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary of United States — what were the highest and lowest odds?

Over 8 tracked days the odds ranged between 14% and 44%. The final reading of 18% sits inside that range.

Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?

Name: Daily market-consensus odds: Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?
Creator: The Morning Line
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Everything Else · tracked since August 13, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on August 20, 2026

18%

Final tracked odds

As of August 20, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 18%.

▲ 5 since the previous update. ▲ 4 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

What happened: The market said 20% on August 20, 2026. It didn't happen.

How the odds have moved

Every outcome we track

Outcome	Aug 19	Today	Move
Anna Kelly	14%	18%	▲ 5

Full history table

Date	Anna Kelly
2026-08-20	18%
2026-08-19	14%
2026-08-18	26%
2026-08-17	26%
2026-08-16	32%
2026-08-15	44%
2026-08-14	26%
2026-08-13	14%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary of United States — what were the odds?: As of the last morning we tracked it, August 20, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 18%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary of United States — did the odds go up or down?: Up. Over the 8 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 14% on August 13, 2026 to 18% on August 20, 2026 — a change of 4 points.
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary of United States — what were the highest and lowest odds?: Over 8 tracked days the odds ranged between 14% and 44%. The final reading of 18% sits inside that range.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary of United States” for 8 days, since August 13, 2026. As of August 20, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 18%. The final tracked chance for a yes has risen from 14% to 18%, ranging between 14% and 44% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on August 20, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.