The Morning Line

Will Ryan Fox win the The Open Championship?

Golf · tracked since July 7, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on July 19, 2026

10%

Final tracked odds

As of July 19, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 10%.

▲ 2 since the previous update. ▲ 10 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

What happened: The market said 10% on July 19, 2026. Ryan Fox won.

How the odds have moved

tracking begins0%25%50%75%100%Jun 22Jun 29Jul 5Jul 12Jul 19Ryan Fox — Jun 22: 0%Ryan Fox — Jun 23: 0.9%Ryan Fox — Jun 24: 0.9%Ryan Fox — Jun 25: 0.2%Ryan Fox — Jun 26: 0.1%Ryan Fox — Jun 27: 0.1%Ryan Fox — Jun 29: 0.1%Ryan Fox — Jun 30: 0.5%Ryan Fox — Jul 1: 0.5%Ryan Fox — Jul 2: 0.5%Ryan Fox — Jul 3: 0.2%Ryan Fox — Jul 4: 0.6%Ryan Fox — Jul 5: 0.5%Ryan Fox — Jul 6: 0.5%Ryan Fox — Jul 7: 0.5%Ryan Fox — Jul 8: 0.4%Ryan Fox — Jul 9: 0.2%Ryan Fox — Jul 10: 0.2%Ryan Fox — Jul 11: 0.3%Ryan Fox — Jul 12: 0.3%Ryan Fox — Jul 13: 0.4%Ryan Fox — Jul 14: 0.4%Ryan Fox — Jul 15: 0.4%Ryan Fox — Jul 17: 0.1%Ryan Fox — Jul 18: 8%Ryan Fox — Jul 19: 10%10%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeJul 18TodayMove
Ryan Fox8%10%▲ 2
Full history table
DateRyan Fox
2026-07-1910%
2026-07-188%
2026-07-170.1%
2026-07-150.4%
2026-07-140.4%
2026-07-130.4%
2026-07-120.3%
2026-07-110.3%
2026-07-100.2%
2026-07-090.2%
2026-07-080.4%
2026-07-070.5%
2026-07-06 *0.5%
2026-07-05 *0.5%
2026-07-04 *0.6%
2026-07-03 *0.2%
2026-07-02 *0.5%
2026-07-01 *0.5%
2026-06-30 *0.5%
2026-06-29 *0.1%
2026-06-27 *0.1%
2026-06-26 *0.1%
2026-06-25 *0.2%
2026-06-24 *0.9%
2026-06-23 *0.9%
2026-06-22 *0%

* reference history from the market’s own records, before our tracking began.

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

Will Ryan Fox win the The Open Championship — what were the odds?
As of the last morning we tracked it, July 19, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 10%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Will Ryan Fox win the The Open Championship — did the odds go up or down?
Up. Over the 12 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 0.5% on July 7, 2026 to 10% on July 19, 2026 — a change of 9 points.
Will Ryan Fox win the The Open Championship — what were the highest and lowest odds?
Over 12 tracked days the odds ranged between 0.1% and 10%. The final reading of 10% sits at the top of that range.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Ryan Fox win the The Open Championship” for 12 days, since July 7, 2026. As of July 19, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 10%. The final tracked chance for a yes has risen from 0.5% to 10%, ranging between 0.1% and 10% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on July 19, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.

Related questions