Final tracked odds
As of August 18, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 8%.
▼ 1 since the previous update. ▼ 12 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Everything Else · tracked since August 2, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on August 18, 2026
Final tracked odds
▼ 1 since the previous update. ▼ 12 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
| Outcome | Aug 17 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Sep 1, 2026 | 8% | 8% | ▼ 1 |
| Date | Before Sep 1, 2026 |
|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | 8% |
| 2026-08-17 | 8% |
| 2026-08-16 | 8% |
| 2026-08-15 | 14% |
| 2026-08-14 | 14% |
| 2026-08-13 | 14% |
| 2026-08-12 | 18% |
| 2026-08-11 | 19% |
| 2026-08-10 | 20% |
| 2026-08-09 | 20% |
| 2026-08-08 | 22% |
| 2026-08-07 | 28% |
| 2026-08-06 | 30% |
| 2026-08-05 | 30% |
| 2026-08-04 | 34% |
| 2026-08-03 | 66% |
| 2026-08-02 | 56% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Jeanine Pirro announce their departure as United States Attorney for the District of Columbia before Sep 1, 2026” for 17 days, since August 2, 2026. As of August 18, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 8%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 56% to 8%, ranging between 8% and 66% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on August 18, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.