The Morning Line

Will Jeanine Pirro announce their departure as United States Attorney for the District of Columbia before Sep 1, 2026?

Everything Else · tracked since August 2, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on August 18, 2026

8%

Final tracked odds

As of August 18, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 8%.

▼ 1 since the previous update. ▼ 12 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%Aug 2Aug 6Aug 10Aug 14Aug 18Before Sep 1, 2026 — Aug 2: 56%Before Sep 1, 2026 — Aug 3: 66%Before Sep 1, 2026 — Aug 4: 34%Before Sep 1, 2026 — Aug 5: 30%Before Sep 1, 2026 — Aug 6: 30%Before Sep 1, 2026 — Aug 7: 28%Before Sep 1, 2026 — Aug 8: 22%Before Sep 1, 2026 — Aug 9: 20%Before Sep 1, 2026 — Aug 10: 20%Before Sep 1, 2026 — Aug 11: 19%Before Sep 1, 2026 — Aug 12: 18%Before Sep 1, 2026 — Aug 13: 14%Before Sep 1, 2026 — Aug 14: 14%Before Sep 1, 2026 — Aug 15: 14%Before Sep 1, 2026 — Aug 16: 8%Before Sep 1, 2026 — Aug 17: 8%Before Sep 1, 2026 — Aug 18: 8%8%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeAug 17TodayMove
Before Sep 1, 20268%8%▼ 1
Full history table
DateBefore Sep 1, 2026
2026-08-188%
2026-08-178%
2026-08-168%
2026-08-1514%
2026-08-1414%
2026-08-1314%
2026-08-1218%
2026-08-1119%
2026-08-1020%
2026-08-0920%
2026-08-0822%
2026-08-0728%
2026-08-0630%
2026-08-0530%
2026-08-0434%
2026-08-0366%
2026-08-0256%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

Will Jeanine Pirro announce their departure as United States Attorney for the District of Columbia before Sep 1, 2026 — what were the odds?
As of the last morning we tracked it, August 18, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 8%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Will Jeanine Pirro announce their departure as United States Attorney for the District of Columbia before Sep 1, 2026 — did the odds go up or down?
Down. Over the 17 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 56% on August 2, 2026 to 8% on August 18, 2026 — a change of 48 points.
Will Jeanine Pirro announce their departure as United States Attorney for the District of Columbia before Sep 1, 2026 — what were the highest and lowest odds?
Over 17 tracked days the odds ranged between 8% and 66%. The final reading of 8% sits at the bottom of that range.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Jeanine Pirro announce their departure as United States Attorney for the District of Columbia before Sep 1, 2026” for 17 days, since August 2, 2026. As of August 18, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 8%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 56% to 8%, ranging between 8% and 66% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on August 18, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.

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