Final tracked odds
As of August 18, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 38%.
▼ 2 since the previous update. ▼ 2 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Will Jeanine Pirro announce their departure as United States Attorney for the District of Columbia before Jan 1, 2027?
Everything Else · tracked since August 3, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on August 18, 2026
38%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Aug 17 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 40% | 38% | ▼ 2 |
Full history table
| Date | Before Jan 1, 2027 |
|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | 38% |
| 2026-08-17 | 40% |
| 2026-08-16 | 44% |
| 2026-08-15 | 42% |
| 2026-08-14 | 40% |
| 2026-08-13 | 36% |
| 2026-08-12 | 42% |
| 2026-08-11 | 40% |
| 2026-08-10 | 38% |
| 2026-08-09 | 38% |
| 2026-08-08 | 38% |
| 2026-08-07 | 44% |
| 2026-08-06 | 44% |
| 2026-08-05 | 44% |
| 2026-08-04 | 62% |
| 2026-08-03 | 80% |
| 2026-08-02 * | 86% |
* reference history from the market’s own records, before our tracking began.
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Will Jeanine Pirro announce their departure as United States Attorney for the District of Columbia before Jan 1, 2027 — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, August 18, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 38%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Will Jeanine Pirro announce their departure as United States Attorney for the District of Columbia before Jan 1, 2027 — did the odds go up or down?
- Down. Over the 16 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 80% on August 3, 2026 to 38% on August 18, 2026 — a change of 42 points.
- Will Jeanine Pirro announce their departure as United States Attorney for the District of Columbia before Jan 1, 2027 — what were the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 16 tracked days the odds ranged between 36% and 80%. The final reading of 38% sits inside that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Jeanine Pirro announce their departure as United States Attorney for the District of Columbia before Jan 1, 2027” for 16 days, since August 3, 2026. As of August 18, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 38%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 80% to 38%, ranging between 36% and 80% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on August 18, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.