The Morning Line

Will Wisconsin’s total milk production for 2026 be above 33.50 billion pounds?

Everything Else · tracked since August 19, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on August 24, 2026

22%

Final tracked odds

As of August 24, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 22%.

▲ 16 since the previous update. ▲ 12 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

tracking begins0%25%50%75%100%Aug 18Aug 19Aug 20Aug 21Aug 24Above 33.50 billion pounds — Aug 18: 11%Above 33.50 billion pounds — Aug 19: 16%Above 33.50 billion pounds — Aug 20: 6%Above 33.50 billion pounds — Aug 21: 6%Above 33.50 billion pounds — Aug 24: 22%22%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeAug 21TodayMove
Above 33.50 billion pounds6%22%▲ 16
Full history table
DateAbove 33.50 billion pounds
2026-08-2422%
2026-08-216%
2026-08-206%
2026-08-1916%
2026-08-18 *11%

* reference history from the market’s own records, before our tracking began.

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

Will Wisconsin’s total milk production for 2026 be above 33.50 billion pounds — what were the odds?
As of the last morning we tracked it, August 24, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 22%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Will Wisconsin’s total milk production for 2026 be above 33.50 billion pounds — did the odds go up or down?
Up. Over the 4 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 16% on August 19, 2026 to 22% on August 24, 2026 — a change of 6 points.
Will Wisconsin’s total milk production for 2026 be above 33.50 billion pounds — what were the highest and lowest odds?
Over 4 tracked days the odds ranged between 6% and 22%. The final reading of 22% sits at the top of that range.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Wisconsin’s total milk production for 2026 be above 33.50 billion pounds” for 4 days, since August 19, 2026. As of August 24, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 22%. The final tracked chance for a yes has risen from 16% to 22%, ranging between 6% and 22% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on August 24, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.

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