Final tracked odds
As of August 10, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 2%.
Unchanged since the previous update. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Everything Else · tracked since August 4, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on August 10, 2026
Final tracked odds
Unchanged since the previous update. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
| Outcome | Aug 9 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2% | 2% | — |
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | 2% |
| 2026-08-09 | 2% |
| 2026-08-08 | 3% |
| 2026-08-04 | 3% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August” for 4 days, since August 4, 2026. As of August 10, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 2%. The final tracked chance for a yes has held near 3% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on August 10, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.