Final tracked odds
As of August 13, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 8%.
Unchanged since the previous update. ▼ 4 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?
Everything Else · tracked since August 10, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on August 13, 2026
8%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Aug 12 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 8% | 8% | — |
Full history table
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | 8% |
| 2026-08-12 | 8% |
| 2026-08-11 | 10% |
| 2026-08-10 | 12% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, August 13, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 8%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August — did the odds go up or down?
- Down. Over the 4 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 12% on August 10, 2026 to 8% on August 13, 2026 — a change of 4 points.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August” for 4 days, since August 10, 2026. As of August 13, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 8%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 12% to 8%, ranging between 8% and 12% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on August 13, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.