Final tracked odds
As of September 22, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 99.8%.
Unchanged since the previous update. ▲ 4 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Everything Else · tracked since September 9, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on September 22, 2026
99.8%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Sep 21 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 99.7% | 99.8% | — |
Full history table
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | 99.8% |
| 2026-09-21 | 99.7% |
| 2026-09-20 | 98% |
| 2026-09-19 | 98% |
| 2026-09-18 | 98% |
| 2026-09-17 | 97% |
| 2026-09-16 | 95% |
| 2026-09-15 | 96% |
| 2026-09-14 | 97% |
| 2026-09-13 | 95% |
| 2026-09-12 | 98% |
| 2026-09-11 | 98% |
| 2026-09-10 | 98% |
| 2026-09-09 | 98% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027 — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, September 22, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 99.8%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027 — did the odds go up or down?
- Up. Over the 14 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 98% on September 9, 2026 to 99.8% on September 22, 2026 — a change of 2 points.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027” for 14 days, since September 9, 2026. As of September 22, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 99.8%. The final tracked chance for a yes has risen from 98% to 99.8%, ranging between 95% and 99.8% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on September 22, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.