Will Tom Kim win the Genesis Scottish Open — what were the odds?

As of the last morning we tracked it, July 12, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 30%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.

Will Tom Kim win the Genesis Scottish Open — did the odds go up or down?

Up. Over the 6 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 1.2% on July 7, 2026 to 30% on July 12, 2026 — a change of 29 points.

Will Tom Kim win the Genesis Scottish Open — what were the highest and lowest odds?

Over 6 tracked days the odds ranged between 1.1% and 30%. The final reading of 30% sits at the top of that range.

Will Tom Kim win the Genesis Scottish Open?

Name: Daily market-consensus odds: Will Tom Kim win the Genesis Scottish Open?
Creator: The Morning Line
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Golf · tracked since July 7, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on July 12, 2026

30%

Final tracked odds

As of July 12, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 30%.

▲ 19 since the previous update. ▲ 29 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

What happened: The market said 30% on July 12, 2026. Tom Kim won.

How the odds have moved

Every outcome we track

Outcome	Jul 11	Today	Move
Tom Kim	10%	30%	▲ 19

Full history table

Date	Tom Kim
2026-07-12	30%
2026-07-11	10%
2026-07-10	2%
2026-07-09	3%
2026-07-08	1.1%
2026-07-07	1.2%
2026-07-06 *	0.1%

* reference history from the market’s own records, before our tracking began.

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

Will Tom Kim win the Genesis Scottish Open — what were the odds?: As of the last morning we tracked it, July 12, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 30%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Will Tom Kim win the Genesis Scottish Open — did the odds go up or down?: Up. Over the 6 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 1.2% on July 7, 2026 to 30% on July 12, 2026 — a change of 29 points.
Will Tom Kim win the Genesis Scottish Open — what were the highest and lowest odds?: Over 6 tracked days the odds ranged between 1.1% and 30%. The final reading of 30% sits at the top of that range.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Tom Kim win the Genesis Scottish Open” for 6 days, since July 7, 2026. As of July 12, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 30%. The final tracked chance for a yes has risen from 1.2% to 30%, ranging between 1.1% and 30% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on July 12, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.