Final tracked odds
As of August 3, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 86%.
Unchanged since the previous update. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Who will be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?
Politics · tracked since July 27, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on August 3, 2026
86%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Jul 31 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Donavan McKinney | — | 86% | — |
Full history table
| Date | Donavan McKinney |
|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | 86% |
| 2026-07-31 | — |
| 2026-07-29 | 88% |
| 2026-07-28 | 86% |
| 2026-07-27 | 86% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Who will be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13 — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, August 3, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 86%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Who will be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13” for 4 days, since July 27, 2026. As of August 3, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 86%. The final tracked chance for a yes has held near 86% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on August 3, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.