MLB · tracked since October 4, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on October 5, 2026
Final tracked odds
▼ 1 since the previous update. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
What happened: The market said 2% on October 5, 2026. It didn't happen.
| Outcome | Oct 4 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 2% | 2% | ▼ 1 |
| Date | Fernando Tatis Jr. |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 2% |
| 2026-10-04 | 2% |
| 2026-10-03 * | 3% |
| 2026-10-02 * | 2% |
| 2026-10-01 * | 4% |
| 2026-09-30 * | 1.1% |
| 2026-09-29 * | 1.1% |
* reference history from the market’s own records, before our tracking began.
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Fernando Tatis Jr. win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP” for 2 days, since October 4, 2026. As of October 5, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 2%. The final tracked chance for a yes has held near 2% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on October 5, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.