Today’s odds
As of October 12, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 58%.
▼ 1 since the previous update. ▲ 1 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Everything Else · tracked since July 12, 2026 · last updated 5:00 AM ET
Today’s odds
▼ 1 since the previous update. ▲ 1 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
| Outcome | Oct 11 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 60% | 58% | ▼ 1 |
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | 58% |
| 2026-10-11 | 60% |
| 2026-10-10 | 52% |
| 2026-10-09 | 50% |
| 2026-10-08 | 60% |
| 2026-10-07 | 61% |
| 2026-10-06 | 57% |
| 2026-10-05 | 57% |
| 2026-10-04 | 58% |
| 2026-10-03 | 64% |
| 2026-10-02 | 60% |
| 2026-10-01 | 64% |
| 2026-08-10 | 31% |
| 2026-08-09 | 32% |
| 2026-08-08 | 24% |
| 2026-08-07 | 22% |
| 2026-08-06 | 24% |
| 2026-08-05 | 22% |
| 2026-08-04 | 20% |
| 2026-08-03 | 19% |
| 2026-08-02 | 18% |
| 2026-08-01 | 18% |
| 2026-07-20 | 26% |
| 2026-07-12 | 26% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026” for 24 days, since July 12, 2026. As of October 12, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 58%. The chance for a yes has risen from 26% to 58%, ranging between 18% and 64% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.