The Morning Line

Will Nicolai Hojgaard win the The Open Championship?

Golf · tracked since July 7, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on July 16, 2026

0.1%

Final tracked odds

As of July 16, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 0.1%.

▼ 1 since the previous update. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

What happened: The market said 0.5% on July 16, 2026. It didn't happen.

How the odds have moved

tracking begins0%25%50%75%100%Jun 22Jun 28Jul 4Jul 10Jul 16Nicolai Hojgaard — Jun 22: 0%Nicolai Hojgaard — Jun 23: 2%Nicolai Hojgaard — Jun 24: 1.0%Nicolai Hojgaard — Jun 25: 0.3%Nicolai Hojgaard — Jun 26: 0.3%Nicolai Hojgaard — Jun 27: 1.0%Nicolai Hojgaard — Jun 28: 0.4%Nicolai Hojgaard — Jun 29: 1.0%Nicolai Hojgaard — Jun 30: 0.5%Nicolai Hojgaard — Jul 1: 0.6%Nicolai Hojgaard — Jul 2: 0.9%Nicolai Hojgaard — Jul 3: 0.6%Nicolai Hojgaard — Jul 4: 0.6%Nicolai Hojgaard — Jul 5: 0.8%Nicolai Hojgaard — Jul 6: 0.9%Nicolai Hojgaard — Jul 7: 0.6%Nicolai Hojgaard — Jul 8: 0.5%Nicolai Hojgaard — Jul 9: 0.5%Nicolai Hojgaard — Jul 10: 0.6%Nicolai Hojgaard — Jul 11: 0.7%Nicolai Hojgaard — Jul 12: 0.8%Nicolai Hojgaard — Jul 13: 0.8%Nicolai Hojgaard — Jul 14: 0.8%Nicolai Hojgaard — Jul 15: 0.9%Nicolai Hojgaard — Jul 16: 0.1%0.1%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeJul 15TodayMove
Nicolai Hojgaard0.9%0.1%▼ 1
Full history table
DateNicolai Hojgaard
2026-07-160.1%
2026-07-150.9%
2026-07-140.8%
2026-07-130.8%
2026-07-120.8%
2026-07-110.7%
2026-07-100.6%
2026-07-090.5%
2026-07-080.5%
2026-07-070.6%
2026-07-06 *0.9%
2026-07-05 *0.8%
2026-07-04 *0.6%
2026-07-03 *0.6%
2026-07-02 *0.9%
2026-07-01 *0.6%
2026-06-30 *0.5%
2026-06-29 *1.0%
2026-06-28 *0.4%
2026-06-27 *1.0%
2026-06-26 *0.3%
2026-06-25 *0.3%
2026-06-24 *1.0%
2026-06-23 *2%
2026-06-22 *0%

* reference history from the market’s own records, before our tracking began.

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

Will Nicolai Hojgaard win the The Open Championship — what were the odds?
As of the last morning we tracked it, July 16, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 0.1%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Will Nicolai Hojgaard win the The Open Championship — how much did the odds move?
Barely. Across 10 tracked days the odds held near 0.6%, ending at 0.1% on July 16, 2026 — a question the market has not changed its mind about.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Nicolai Hojgaard win the The Open Championship” for 10 days, since July 7, 2026. As of July 16, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 0.1%. The final tracked chance for a yes has held near 0.6% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on July 16, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.

Related questions

The Morning Line publishes probability forecasts built from market-consensus odds — the aggregated judgment of thousands of people with real money on the line, refreshed every morning. Forecasts are for news and informational purposes only and are not financial or investment advice. Probabilities move; the numbers on this page were current when the edition was published.

Every number here is free to download and reuse under CC BY 4.0 — see the open data.