The Morning Line

Who will be the top artist for 2026?

Everything Else · tracked since July 7, 2026 · last updated 5:01 AM ET

0.2%

Today’s odds

As of August 30, 2026, this is wide open — no outcome clears 10% in market-consensus odds; The Weeknd leads at 0.2%.

Unchanged since the previous update. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

The WeekndBeyoncé
0%25%50%75%100%Jul 7Jul 14Jul 19Aug 25Aug 30The Weeknd — Jul 7: 0.5%The Weeknd — Jul 9: 0.6%The Weeknd — Jul 10: 0.6%The Weeknd — Jul 11: 0.6%The Weeknd — Jul 13: 0.6%The Weeknd — Jul 14: 0.6%The Weeknd — Jul 15: 0.6%The Weeknd — Jul 16: 0.6%The Weeknd — Jul 17: 0.6%The Weeknd — Jul 18: 0.5%The Weeknd — Jul 19: 0.5%The Weeknd — Jul 25: 0.7%The Weeknd — Jul 26: 0.5%The Weeknd — Aug 23: 0.4%The Weeknd — Aug 25: 0.2%The Weeknd — Aug 26: 0.2%The Weeknd — Aug 27: 0.2%The Weeknd — Aug 28: 0.2%The Weeknd — Aug 29: 0.2%The Weeknd — Aug 30: 0.2%0.2%Beyoncé — Jul 14: 0.6%Beyoncé — Jul 16: 0.5%Beyoncé — Jul 17: 0.5%Beyoncé — Jul 18: 0.6%Beyoncé — Jul 19: 0.5%Beyoncé — Aug 29: 0.2%Beyoncé — Aug 30: 0.2%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeAug 29TodayMove
The Weeknd0.2%0.2%
Beyoncé0.2%0.2%
Full history table
DateThe WeekndBeyoncé
2026-08-300.2%0.2%
2026-08-290.2%0.2%
2026-08-280.2%
2026-08-270.2%
2026-08-260.2%
2026-08-250.2%
2026-08-230.4%
2026-08-01
2026-07-260.5%
2026-07-250.7%
2026-07-190.5%0.5%
2026-07-180.5%0.6%
2026-07-170.6%0.5%
2026-07-160.6%0.5%
2026-07-150.6%
2026-07-140.6%0.6%
2026-07-130.6%
2026-07-110.6%
2026-07-100.6%
2026-07-090.6%
2026-07-070.5%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.

Common questions

Who will be the top artist for 2026 — what are the odds?
As of August 30, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 0.2%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Who will be the top artist for 2026 — how much have the odds move?
Barely. Across 20 tracked days the odds held near 0.5%, ending at 0.2% on August 30, 2026 — a question the market has not changed its mind about.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Who will be the top artist for 2026” for 20 days, since July 7, 2026. As of August 30, 2026, no outcome clears 10% — The Weeknd leads at 0.2%. The chance for the leading outcome has held near 0.5% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.

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