The Morning Line

Will Jeffrey Springs lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

MLB · tracked since July 9, 2026 · last updated 5:01 AM ET

0.7%

Today’s odds

As of July 31, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 0.7%.

Unchanged since the previous update. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%Jul 9Jul 14Jul 17Jul 25Jul 31Yes — Jul 9: 0.6%Yes — Jul 11: 0.9%Yes — Jul 12: 0.9%Yes — Jul 13: 0.9%Yes — Jul 14: 0.7%Yes — Jul 15: 0.7%Yes — Jul 16: 0.9%Yes — Jul 17: 0.9%Yes — Jul 18: 0.9%Yes — Jul 19: 0.9%Yes — Jul 25: 0.7%Yes — Jul 26: 0.8%Yes — Jul 29: 0.7%Yes — Jul 30: 0.8%Yes — Jul 31: 0.7%0.7%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeJul 30TodayMove
Yes0.8%0.7%
Full history table
DateYes
2026-07-310.7%
2026-07-300.8%
2026-07-290.7%
2026-07-260.8%
2026-07-250.7%
2026-07-190.9%
2026-07-180.9%
2026-07-170.9%
2026-07-160.9%
2026-07-150.7%
2026-07-140.7%
2026-07-130.9%
2026-07-120.9%
2026-07-110.9%
2026-07-090.6%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.

Common questions

Will Jeffrey Springs lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season — what are the odds?
As of July 31, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 0.7%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Will Jeffrey Springs lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season — how much have the odds move?
Barely. Across 15 tracked days the odds held near 0.6%, ending at 0.7% on July 31, 2026 — a question the market has not changed its mind about.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Jeffrey Springs lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season” for 15 days, since July 9, 2026. As of July 31, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 0.7%. The chance for a yes has held near 0.6% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.

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