Golf · tracked since July 7, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on July 15, 2026
Final tracked odds
Unchanged since the previous update. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
What happened: The market said 1.2% on July 15, 2026. It didn't happen.
| Outcome | Jul 14 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joaquin Niemann | 1.4% | 1.2% | — |
| Date | Joaquin Niemann |
|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | 1.2% |
| 2026-07-14 | 1.4% |
| 2026-07-13 | 1.4% |
| 2026-07-12 | 2% |
| 2026-07-11 | 2% |
| 2026-07-10 | 2% |
| 2026-07-09 | 2% |
| 2026-07-08 | 2% |
| 2026-07-07 | 2% |
| 2026-07-06 * | 2% |
| 2026-07-05 * | 2% |
| 2026-07-04 * | 2% |
| 2026-07-03 * | 2% |
| 2026-07-02 * | 2% |
| 2026-07-01 * | 2% |
| 2026-06-30 * | 2% |
| 2026-06-29 * | 2% |
| 2026-06-28 * | 3% |
| 2026-06-27 * | 3% |
| 2026-06-26 * | 3% |
| 2026-06-25 * | 3% |
| 2026-06-24 * | 3% |
| 2026-06-23 * | 2% |
| 2026-06-22 * | 1.0% |
* reference history from the market’s own records, before our tracking began.
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Joaquin Niemann win the The Open Championship” for 9 days, since July 7, 2026. As of July 15, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 1.2%. The final tracked chance for a yes has held near 2% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on July 15, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.