Final tracked odds
As of August 25, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 76%.
▼ 5 since the previous update. ▲ 48 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 140 million?
Everything Else · tracked since August 22, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on August 25, 2026
76%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Aug 24 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 140 million | 82% | 76% | ▼ 5 |
Full history table
| Date | Above 140 million |
|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | 76% |
| 2026-08-24 | 82% |
| 2026-08-23 | 82% |
| 2026-08-22 | 82% |
| 2026-08-21 * | 87% |
| 2026-08-20 * | 87% |
| 2026-08-19 * | 28% |
* reference history from the market’s own records, before our tracking began.
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 140 million — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, August 25, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 76%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 140 million — did the odds go up or down?
- Down. Over the 4 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 82% on August 22, 2026 to 76% on August 25, 2026 — a change of 6 points.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 140 million” for 4 days, since August 22, 2026. As of August 25, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 76%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 82% to 76%, ranging between 76% and 82% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on August 25, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.