Final tracked odds
As of October 22, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 4%.
▼ 1 since the previous update. ▼ 1 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Everything Else · tracked since October 21, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on October 22, 2026
Final tracked odds
▼ 1 since the previous update. ▼ 1 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
| Outcome | Oct 21 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 4% | 4% | ▼ 1 |
| Date | Before Jan 1, 2027 |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | 4% |
| 2026-10-21 | 4% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will the Onion Futures Act be repealed before Jan 1, 2027” for 2 days, since October 21, 2026. As of October 22, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 4%. The final tracked chance for a yes has held near 4% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on October 22, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.