Today’s odds
As of October 15, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 84%.
▼ 10 since the previous update. ▼ 10 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
Everything Else · tracked since July 20, 2026 · last updated 5:01 AM ET
84%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Oct 14 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 93% | 84% | ▼ 10 |
Full history table
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | 84% |
| 2026-10-14 | 93% |
| 2026-10-13 | 93% |
| 2026-10-12 | 94% |
| 2026-10-11 | 92% |
| 2026-10-10 | 92% |
| 2026-10-09 | 94% |
| 2026-10-08 | 94% |
| 2026-10-07 | 94% |
| 2026-10-06 | 94% |
| 2026-10-05 | 94% |
| 2026-10-02 | 94% |
| 2026-10-01 | 93% |
| 2026-07-31 | 63% |
| 2026-07-30 | 64% |
| 2026-07-29 | 62% |
| 2026-07-28 | 64% |
| 2026-07-27 | 64% |
| 2026-07-26 | 66% |
| 2026-07-25 | 66% |
| 2026-07-24 | 68% |
| 2026-07-23 | 68% |
| 2026-07-22 | 68% |
| 2026-07-21 | 69% |
| 2026-07-20 | 65% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.
Common questions
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31 — what are the odds?
- As of October 15, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 84%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31 — have the odds gone up or down?
- Up. Over the 25 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 65% on July 20, 2026 to 84% on October 15, 2026 — a change of 19 points.
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31 — what are the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 25 tracked days the odds ranged between 62% and 94%. The current reading of 84% sits inside that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31” for 25 days, since July 20, 2026. As of October 15, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 84%. The chance for a yes has risen from 65% to 84%, ranging between 62% and 94% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.