The Morning Line

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?

Everything Else · tracked since July 7, 2026 · last updated 5:00 AM ET

30%

Today’s odds

As of August 27, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 30%.

▲ 1 since the previous update. ▲ 18 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%Jul 7Jul 10Aug 22Aug 24Aug 27Yes — Jul 7: 8%Yes — Jul 8: 8%Yes — Jul 9: 8%Yes — Jul 10: 12%Yes — Jul 11: 12%Yes — Jul 13: 11%Yes — Aug 22: 32%Yes — Aug 23: 30%Yes — Aug 24: 28%Yes — Aug 25: 28%Yes — Aug 26: 28%Yes — Aug 27: 30%30%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeAug 26TodayMove
Yes28%30%▲ 1
Full history table
DateYes
2026-08-2730%
2026-08-2628%
2026-08-2528%
2026-08-2428%
2026-08-2330%
2026-08-2232%
2026-07-1311%
2026-07-1112%
2026-07-1012%
2026-07-098%
2026-07-088%
2026-07-078%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.

Common questions

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31 — what are the odds?
As of August 27, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 30%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31 — have the odds gone up or down?
Up. Over the 12 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 8% on July 7, 2026 to 30% on August 27, 2026 — a change of 22 points.
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31 — what are the highest and lowest odds?
Over 12 tracked days the odds ranged between 8% and 32%. The current reading of 30% sits inside that range.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31” for 12 days, since July 7, 2026. As of August 27, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 30%. The chance for a yes has risen from 8% to 30%, ranging between 8% and 32% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.

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