Final tracked odds
As of September 14, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 30%.
▲ 2 since the previous update. ▲ 4 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
Everything Else · tracked since July 7, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on September 14, 2026
30%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Sep 13 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 28% | 30% | ▲ 2 |
Full history table
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | 30% |
| 2026-09-13 | 28% |
| 2026-09-12 | 30% |
| 2026-09-11 | 30% |
| 2026-09-10 | 30% |
| 2026-09-09 | 30% |
| 2026-09-08 | 27% |
| 2026-09-07 | 26% |
| 2026-09-06 | 26% |
| 2026-09-05 | 26% |
| 2026-09-04 | 24% |
| 2026-09-03 | 28% |
| 2026-09-02 | 26% |
| 2026-09-01 | 26% |
| 2026-08-31 | 30% |
| 2026-08-30 | 28% |
| 2026-08-29 | 28% |
| 2026-08-28 | 28% |
| 2026-08-27 | 29% |
| 2026-08-26 | 28% |
| 2026-08-25 | 28% |
| 2026-08-24 | 28% |
| 2026-08-23 | 30% |
| 2026-08-22 | 32% |
| 2026-07-13 | 11% |
| 2026-07-11 | 12% |
| 2026-07-10 | 12% |
| 2026-07-09 | 8% |
| 2026-07-08 | 8% |
| 2026-07-07 | 8% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31 — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, September 14, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 30%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31 — did the odds go up or down?
- Up. Over the 30 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 8% on July 7, 2026 to 30% on September 14, 2026 — a change of 22 points.
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31 — what were the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 30 tracked days the odds ranged between 8% and 32%. The final reading of 30% sits inside that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31” for 30 days, since July 7, 2026. As of September 14, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 30%. The final tracked chance for a yes has risen from 8% to 30%, ranging between 8% and 32% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on September 14, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.