Final tracked odds
As of July 10, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 0.1%.
Unchanged since the previous update. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Politics · tracked since July 7, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on July 10, 2026
0.1%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Jul 9 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0.1% | 0.1% | — |
Full history table
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | 0.1% |
| 2026-07-09 | 0.1% |
| 2026-07-08 | 0.1% |
| 2026-07-07 | 0.1% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, July 10, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 0.1%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election” for 4 days, since July 7, 2026. As of July 10, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 0.1%. The final tracked chance for a yes has held near 0.1% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on July 10, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.