World Cup · tracked since July 7, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on July 10, 2026
Final tracked odds
▲ 1 since the previous update. ▲ 1 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
What happened: The market said 74% on July 10, 2026. Spain advances won.
| Outcome | Jul 9 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spain advances | 74% | 74% | ▲ 1 |
| Belgium advances | 26% | 26% | — |
| Date | Spain advances | Belgium advances |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | 74% | 26% |
| 2026-07-09 | 74% | 26% |
| 2026-07-08 | 74% | 26% |
| 2026-07-07 | 74% | 26% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Spain vs Belgium: To Advance” for 4 days, since July 7, 2026. As of July 10, 2026, Spain advances leads the field at 74%. The final tracked chance for Spain advances has risen from 74% to 74% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on July 10, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.