Final tracked odds
As of October 11, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 10%.
Unchanged since the previous update. ▼ 1 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
Sports · tracked since July 16, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on October 11, 2026
10%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Oct 10 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 10% | 10% | — |
Full history table
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | 10% |
| 2026-10-10 | 10% |
| 2026-10-08 | 10% |
| 2026-10-05 | 10% |
| 2026-10-04 | 12% |
| 2026-10-03 | 12% |
| 2026-10-02 | 14% |
| 2026-10-01 | 14% |
| 2026-09-30 | 14% |
| 2026-09-29 | 14% |
| 2026-09-28 | 14% |
| 2026-08-09 | 34% |
| 2026-08-08 | 34% |
| 2026-08-07 | 34% |
| 2026-08-04 | 34% |
| 2026-08-03 | 34% |
| 2026-08-02 | 32% |
| 2026-08-01 | 28% |
| 2026-07-19 | 26% |
| 2026-07-18 | 27% |
| 2026-07-17 | 24% |
| 2026-07-16 | 24% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31 — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, October 11, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 10%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31 — did the odds go up or down?
- Down. Over the 22 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 24% on July 16, 2026 to 10% on October 11, 2026 — a change of 14 points.
- UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31 — what were the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 22 tracked days the odds ranged between 10% and 34%. The final reading of 10% sits at the bottom of that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31” for 22 days, since July 16, 2026. As of October 11, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 10%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 24% to 10%, ranging between 10% and 34% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on October 11, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.