The Morning Line

Spain vs Belgium Winner?

World Cup · tracked since July 7, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on July 10, 2026

60%

Final tracked odds

As of July 10, 2026, market-consensus odds make Reg Time: Spain the most likely outcome at 60%.

Unchanged since the previous update. ▼ 1 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

What happened: The market said 60% on July 10, 2026. Reg Time: Spain won.

How the odds have moved

Reg Time: SpainReg Time: TieReg Time: Belgium
0%25%50%75%100%Jul 7Jul 8Jul 9Jul 10Reg Time: Spain — Jul 7: 60%Reg Time: Spain — Jul 8: 60%Reg Time: Spain — Jul 9: 60%Reg Time: Spain — Jul 10: 60%60%Reg Time: Tie — Jul 7: 24%Reg Time: Tie — Jul 8: 24%Reg Time: Tie — Jul 9: 24%Reg Time: Tie — Jul 10: 24%Reg Time: Belgium — Jul 7: 16%Reg Time: Belgium — Jul 8: 16%Reg Time: Belgium — Jul 9: 16%Reg Time: Belgium — Jul 10: 16%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeJul 9TodayMove
Reg Time: Spain60%60%—
Reg Time: Tie24%24%—
Reg Time: Belgium16%16%—
Full history table
DateReg Time: SpainReg Time: TieReg Time: Belgium
2026-07-1060%24%16%
2026-07-0960%24%16%
2026-07-0860%24%16%
2026-07-0760%24%16%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

Spain vs Belgium Winner — what were the odds?
As of the last morning we tracked it, July 10, 2026, Reg Time: Spain led at 60%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Spain vs Belgium Winner” for 4 days, since July 7, 2026. As of July 10, 2026, Reg Time: Spain leads the field at 60%. The final tracked chance for Reg Time: Spain has fallen from 60% to 60% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on July 10, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.

Related questions

The Morning Line publishes probability forecasts built from market-consensus odds — the aggregated judgment of thousands of people with real money on the line, refreshed every morning. Forecasts are for news and informational purposes only and are not financial or investment advice. Probabilities move; the numbers on this page were current when the edition was published.

Every number here is free to download and reuse under CC BY 4.0 — see the open data.