The Morning Line

Who will be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

UFC · tracked since July 8, 2026 · last updated 5:00 AM ET

0.1%

Today’s odds

As of October 12, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 0.1%.

Unchanged since the previous update. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%Jul 8Aug 5Sep 9Sep 25Oct 12David Martinez — Aug 1: 3%David Martinez — Oct 12: 0.1%0.1%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeOct 11TodayMove
David Martinez0.1%0.1%—
Full history table
DateDavid Martinez
2026-10-120.1%
2026-10-110.1%
2026-10-100.1%
2026-10-090.1%
2026-10-080.1%
2026-10-070.1%
2026-10-050.1%
2026-10-040.1%
2026-10-030.1%
2026-10-020.1%
2026-10-010.1%
2026-09-30—
2026-09-29—
2026-09-28—
2026-09-25—
2026-09-24—
2026-09-23—
2026-09-22—
2026-09-21—
2026-09-18—
2026-09-17—
2026-09-16—
2026-09-15—
2026-09-14—
2026-09-13—
2026-09-11—
2026-09-10—
2026-09-09—
2026-09-08—
2026-09-07—
2026-09-04—
2026-09-02—
2026-09-01—
2026-08-13—
2026-08-12—
2026-08-11—
2026-08-10—
2026-08-09—
2026-08-08—
2026-08-07—
2026-08-061.1%
2026-08-051.2%
2026-08-041.2%
2026-08-033%
2026-08-023%
2026-08-013%
2026-07-27—
2026-07-24—
2026-07-23—
2026-07-22—
2026-07-21—
2026-07-20—
2026-07-15—
2026-07-13—
2026-07-12—
2026-07-08—

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.

Common questions

Who will be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026 — what are the odds?
As of October 12, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 0.1%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Who will be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026 — have the odds gone up or down?
Down. Over the 17 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 3% on August 1, 2026 to 0.1% on October 12, 2026 — a change of 3 points.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Who will be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026” for 17 days, since July 8, 2026. As of October 12, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 0.1%. The chance for a yes has fallen from 3% to 0.1%, ranging between 0.1% and 3% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.

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